Trends during Great Recession may foreshadow pandemic’s impact on pubmedia

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The impact of COVID-19 is a very different financial shock from what public media has seen before, but it’s not the first fiscal challenge the industry has faced. The Great Recession of December 2007 to June 2009 also posed a huge test for public radio and television stations throughout the country. We at Public Media Co. thought it would be a good idea to take a look at what happened a decade ago.

We found that, in general, public radio fared better than public television and that the recession hit some sources of revenue much harder than others.

Starting at the top, total revenue for public radio stations grew by 4% ($31 million) from 2007 to 2010, but public television station revenue declined by 12% ($272 million) over the same period (based on financial data from CPB).

Breaking the data down further, the hardest-hit group of stations was public television community licensees (stations that are independent 501(c)3 organizations), with a revenue drop of $222 million between 2007 and 2010, a 19% decline. Public television state networks were also hit hard, declining $43 million or 13% as a result of a big decrease in state support. Perhaps surprisingly, university stations were the least-affected group during the last recession.

We learn even more by looking at revenue by source. Most significantly, both public radio and television stations experienced a big reduction in business and industry revenue (i.e., underwriting) during the Great Recession — something that stations are already having to deal with in this current crisis. Both station groups also saw declines in support from states and, to a lesser degree, from foundations as well.

The biggest-percentage revenue increase came from major donors, with revenue for both radio and television stations increasing by 72% in the 2007–10 period. Major-donor revenue was pretty small back in 2007, but this trend highlights the importance of staying close to key funders during tough times.

The biggest disparity in revenue trends between public radio and television was in membership. Revenue from station members grew by $27 million for public radio stations (+10%) from 2007 to 2010 but declined by $50 million for public television stations (-13%).

A possible reason for the membership disparity can be seen when we look at expenses over the same period. The expenses data shows that stations were forced to cut back in many areas during the previous recession, but public radio stations did not cut spending in every area. They increased their investment in fundraising (up $16 million, or 14%) and in content (up $63 million, or 18%) from 2007 to 2010, whereas public television stations reduced their investment in both areas over the same period (down 16% and 6%, respectively).

This may be why public radio station membership grew throughout the Great Recession and enabled radio to weather the storm in better condition than public television. Note: Anecdotal data suggests public TV membership is holding steady or increasing for many stations during the COVID crisis as viewers embrace Passport and streaming services in general.

Remember that this data is for all public radio and television stations combined and that individual stations’ experiences was not always consistent with overall trends. For instance, a number of stations increased their investments in fundraising but did not see increases in fundraising revenue, and vice versa. The charts in this post reflect overall industry totals and should not be assumed to be the trends of each individual public media station.

An upcoming column will explore how public media revenue has grown since the Great Recession and how that additional revenue has been invested across station operations.

Steve Holmes is a director atPublic Media Company, the only nonprofit consulting firm dedicated to serving public media. PMC leverages business expertise to increase public media’s sustainability and impact across the country. This post was adapted from a previous article on PMC’s website.

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